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07/16/2010 - Winnipeg, MB (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Vince Covello posted his second consecutive five-under 66 on Friday and moved in front after two rounds of The Players Cup.
Covello finished 36 holes at 10-under 132 and is three strokes ahead at Pine Ridge Golf Club.
First-round leader Aaron Goldberg carded a one-under 70 in round two and fell to second at minus-seven.
Brady Stockton (70) and Jose de Jesus Rodriguez (66) are knotted in third place at six-under 136.
Covello began on the 10th tee Friday and broke into red figures right away with a birdie at 10. He added another birdie at the par-five 12th, but that was the last positive for some time.
Covello, 27, parred his next six holes, but bogeyed back-to-back holes at one and two. He atoned for the miscues with four consecutive birdies from the third, starting with a 20-footer at No. 3, to reach nine-under par.
"That (birdie on three) really got me going," acknowledged Covello. "You just have to keep going, you never know what's going to happen. It's a great track and there are birdie chances out there. You just have to take advantage of them."
He got to 10-under par at the par-five eighth. Covello, who finished third earlier this year, birdied the hole and will take a three-shot lead into the weekend in search of his first win on the Canadian Tour.
"My game has been pretty good, but I've just had a tough time putting it all together," he said. "You need to keep a good attitude when you're trying to get out of a funk, which I've done. I'm just trying to limit my mistakes."
Brock Mackenzie (71), Danny Sahl (68), Alan McLean (68), Richard Lee (66) and Johnny Bloomfield (71) are knotted in fifth place at five-under 137.
NOTES: Mackenzie tops the tour's money list...2009 champion Graham DeLaet is playing on the PGA Tour this season...The 36-hole cut fell at two-over 144 and Andy Matthews, who won this year's Mexican PGA Championship, made it on the number.
<< NFL suspends Seahawks LB Hill one game
Seattle, WA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The NFL has suspended Seattle Seahawks
linebacker Leroy Hill one game for violating the league's substance abuse
policy.
Hill was also fined an additional game check. The Seattle Times reported
<< Manny Ramirez replaced in first inning
St. Louis, MO (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Los Angeles Dodgers slugger Manny Ramirez
left Friday's game against the St. Louis Cardinals due to right calf
tightness. He's considered day-to-day.
Ramirez was replaced in left field by Xavier Paul in the b
<< Gainey goes in front at Chiquita Classic
Maineville, OH (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Tommy Gainey posted a six-under 66 on Friday
to move atop the leaderboard after the second round of the inaugural Chiquita
Classic.
Gainey finished 36 holes at 14-under 130 at TPC River's Bend and is one st
<< Mets bump Pelfrey to Monday
San Francisco, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - New York Mets starting pitcher Mike
Pelfrey will have his scheduled Saturday start pushed back to Monday due to a
stiff neck.
The Mets will insert lefty Hisanori Takahashi to take the place of Pelf
Romero bounces back to pitch Jays past Orioles >>
Baltimore, MD (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Ricky Romero tossed seven solid innings en
route to his first victory in exactly one month, as the Toronto Blue Jays held
off the Baltimore Orioles, 4-2, in the opener of a three-game set at Camden
Yards.
Glenn shines as Tiger-Cats batter Bombers >>
Hamilton, ON (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Kevin Glenn threw for 336 yards and three
touchdowns to lead the Hamilton Tiger-Cats to a 28-7 victory over the Winnipeg
Blue Bombers at Ivor Wynne Stadium.
DeAndra' Cobb scored on both a rush and a rece
Reds open second half by edging Rockies >>
Cincinnati, OH (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Bronson Arroyo pitched into the eighth
inning and Orlando Cabrera drove in two runs, as the surprising Cincinnati
Reds opened the second half of the season with a 3-2 win over Colorado at
Great A
Strasburg, Nats open second half on winning note >>
Miami, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Josh Willingham hit a three-run double in the top
of the sixth inning, and the Washington Nationals beat Florida 4-0 in the
opener of a three-game series at Sun Life Stadium.
Washington rookie phenom Steph
While the NFL is the sport wagered on the heaviest, college football betting lines has become more and more popular as people realize it’s a game that can be beat. The NCAA football season gets longer each year with the addition of numerous bowl games and with that comes more opportunities for more money in your pocket, if handled correctly.
Betting on college football is not the same as with the NFL, so make sure you separate the two. Because of the vast number of teams, the parity between college football programs is slight and thus, you are going to see some high numbers in the NCAA. Teams favored by more than 40 points are not uncommon especially early in the season when teams playing their non-conference schedules.
The best advice when trying to tackle these enormous spreads and is to just stay away. A team that is favored by 40 points is favored by that many for a reason while teams getting 40 points are bad enough that they shouldn’t be touched. Set yourself a spread limit. Getting rid of these games will cut down on the number of contests that you need to handicap while staying away from backdoor or front-door covers.
What is a backdoor and front-door cover you ask? A backdoor cover is a team that is getting beat by more than the spread, but scores late to get within that number thus covering the spread. A front-door cover is just the opposite where the favorite scores late and covers the number they are favored by.
These front-door and backdoor covers are common when second and third string players enter games in college football and it can be the worst nightmare for some bettors. These players can also be your best friend, but ask any bettor and he will give you more instances on losing in this situation than winning. It just seems to work out that way even though everything evens out in the end.
College football betting has some of the softest lines of any sport and it’s being able to find these lines that will make you a successful college football handicapper. The NFL and NBA have the tightest lines around and while those sports can be beat by looking at situations and systems, college football doesn’t quite work that way. It’s much more manual, but when done correctly, it’s much more gratifying as well.
Getting into the nuts and bolts of college football means looking at the many stats in order to beat the number. As opposed to pro football, college football is less dependent on situations and angles and more on certain statistics. Rushing offense and defense, pass efficiency offense and defense and turnover margins are huge. These are vital in the NFL, but even more so when it comes to college football.
Being able to run the ball in college football has always been a key factor in the overall success of a team. The same adage also goes for teams who have the ability to stop the run. Putting these two factors together can produce some positive results in a team’s record both straight up and against the spread. These numbers show huge differences in teams and the spread may not take those into effect, which is where the value comes into play.
Passing yardage numbers both for and against can be a misinterpreted statistic. However, pass efficiency has always been one of the best ways to look at a teams’ passing game ability both offensively and defensively. But is it really a true indication of how they perform? I wouldn’t say so since they are raw passing numbers with nothing else taken into consideration.
I use pass efficiency ratings when doing my handicapping but I adjust my numbers based on a number of factors including power ratings, strength of schedules, personnel and injuries. This gives a much better picture of a team’s ability to pass effectively and also being able to defend the pass. Tweaking pass efficiency stats instead of raw passing yards is the key.
Turnovers are the single most frustrating, and at times the most gratifying, aspect of a college football lines, mostly because they are so unpredictable. They are part of the game and most of the time nothing can be done to control them. However, turnovers are contagious and they can carry over from game to game and season to season.
It’s important to know how to forecast these unforeseen events and how to use them to your advantage. You can find ways to give yourself an edge by looking at past histories of teams and coaches and how they have fared in turnover wars in the past. Instead of turnovers hurting you at the wrong times, find ways to use them to your advantage.
As you can see, college football handicapping is very labor intensive and isn’t just based on where teams are ranked in the AP and coaches polls. Experience, coaching and match-ups are all important since unlike the NFL, college teams turn over much more often with new personnel at most positions every single year. Keeping current on this information is vital.
Betting NCAA football can be lucrative if done correctly, but more importantly, it’s just plain enjoyable because it can be beat. College football is one of the best sports to watch with some of the best rivalries taking place in all of sports. The only downfall is that a championship isn’t decided on the field but on a computer-based system that is the Bowl Championship Series. That will change someday and we will all be better off for it.
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Eastern Conference Playoff Betting Trends
We all know by now that the “public” loves to put their money on the FAVORITES and the OVERS. Just by taking a quick glance at Sportsbook.com’s “Betting Trends” it appears as is this tendency will continue as far as the Eastern Conference games are concerned. For the inaugural games of the first round, 69% of the early money is on Toronto -4.5; 59% of bettors prefer Chicago -4.5; 84% are backing Detroit -9; and 56% think Cleveland -11.5 is the way to go. As far as TOTALS are concerned, the only UNDER the “public” is backing is the Cleveland/ Washington game in which 83% are pounding the UNDER (190). Remember, there is no better way to predict a possible line change than by monitoring MySportsbook.com’s “Betting Trends”. By determining who the “public” is backing, you can get the most ideal line for your bet. For example, if you are siding with the public you better place your bet before the line moves in the wrong direction. On the other side of the coin, if you prefer the team that the “public” is betting against; you might be able to get and extra ½ or even more by placing your bet a bit later. Under the “Betting Trends” section, Sportsbook.com also provides plenty of statistical data and trends in order for the bettor to make the most informed pick. Below are some extremely important trends for the first round opponents of the Eastern Conference match-ups, more can be found at MySportsbook.com
New Jersey Nets vs. Toronto Raptors
Toronto was the most reliable covering team this season with a 48-33-1 ATS record but covered the OVER only 41.5% of the time.
The last 20 times these teams have played, the TOTAL has gone UNDER 16 times.
Versus Eastern Conference teams, Toronto is 33-19 ATS including 17-9 at home.
New Jersey has covered four games in a row while Toronto has failed to cover their last four games.
When playing a team with a winning record during the second half of the season, New Jersey was just 5-13 ATS this season.
After scoring 105 points or more, Toronto has covered the OVER only 28% of the time this season.
Miami Heat @ Chicago Bulls
Miami has failed to cover their last 7 games whereas Chicago has covered 6 out of their last 8 games.
Miami has covered the UNDER in four of their last five games whereas Chicago has covered the UNDER in five out of their last six.
When playing on Saturdays, Miami covered 80% of their games this season.
Away from home, Chicago is just 16-25 ATS this season.
At home, Miami covered the UNDER about 66% of the time whereas Chicago covered the UNDER about 61% of the time.
The last 13 times these teams have played each other, Chicago has covered 9 times.
In Miami’s last 11 road games, the UNDER covered 9 times.
Orlando Magic @ Detroit Pistons
Detroit has covered 5 out of their last 6 games.
Away from home, Detroit is 28-13 ATS but just 14-26-1 ATS at home.
At home, Orlando covered the UNDER 64% of the time while Detroit covered the UNDER in 63% of their away games.
The last five times these teams have played in Detroit, the OVER covered each time.
Versus Eastern Conference teams, Detroit is 8-17-1 ATS at home but 17-9 ATS away.
Detroit covered the spread 5 out of the last 6 times they played Orlando.
After a Division game, Orlando covered the UNDER 87% of the time this season.
Washington Wizards @ Cleveland Cavaliers
In a home game where the TOTAL is between 190 and 194.5 points, Cleveland is 9-1 ATS this season.
Washington has covered the UNDER in their last 6 games and in 8 of their last 9 games.
The last 6 times these teams have played each other, the UNDER covered each time.
When playing on 3 or more days of rest, Washington is just 18-37 ATS since 1996.
Since 1996, Washington is 28-16 ATS versus Cleveland including 11-5 over the last 3 seasons.
In their last 7 road games, Washington is 6-1 ATS.
Versus Eastern Conference teams at home, Washington is just 6-18-2 ATS.
For even more betting trends for not just the NBA but for all of the major sports, log on to Sportsbook.com and click on “Trends”. With only two months left in the NBA betting season it is important to be as well informed as possible in order to maximize your profit. Also for all of you poker players, check out MySportsbook.com’s “WSOP Low Bid Auction”. You could be on your way to Vegas to play against the world’s best poker players for under a buck.
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